Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 91.855172 101.664584 111.657188 122.573022 134.136924 145.998667 159.061584
2026-02-08 74.511312 88.862556 104.135252 121.491165 140.562613 160.782542 183.742821
2026-02-15 62.650321 80.237201 99.729765 122.671238 148.677394 177.006396 209.965035
2026-02-22 55.116436 75.369923 98.651735 126.891796 159.742228 196.314901 239.680836
2026-03-01 47.862512 69.873772 96.091506 128.805176 167.763594 211.980497 265.279882
2026-03-08 40.648677 63.537109 91.805526 128.071747 172.238317 223.273248 285.720373
2026-03-15 35.851149 59.673507 90.069306 130.016439 179.593786 237.735836 309.750494
2026-03-22 32.721073 57.624202 90.321159 134.184254 189.484443 255.127952 337.235143
2026-03-29 29.413077 54.937402 89.443873 136.687962 197.168165 269.796801 361.486460
2026-04-05 26.883014 53.062653 89.419264 140.112931 205.885290 285.663797 387.180386
2026-04-12 24.143954 50.567295 88.314664 141.940324 212.461125 298.852640 409.641656
2026-04-19 19.636096 44.808252 82.229959 136.765815 209.785533 300.412326 417.810642
2026-04-26 16.215085 40.399472 77.803999 133.661126 209.716708 305.247295 430.133396
2026-05-03 13.744772 37.264077 75.007492 132.622545 212.240097 313.286555 446.420919
2026-05-10 12.101097 35.378697 73.949725 133.926015 217.823165 325.202829 467.576386
2026-05-17 11.296095 34.966604 75.128385 138.415948 227.714999 342.688202 495.802241
2026-05-24 10.091044 33.595932 74.670228 140.453659 234.243705 355.853039 518.648302
2026-05-31 8.525457 31.223839 72.403330 139.688351 236.836154 363.868718 534.979046
2026-06-07 7.601825 30.078153 72.073113 141.746938 243.300418 376.930638 557.750738
2026-06-14 7.120905 29.866859 73.296793 146.148901 253.052603 394.348268 586.154248
2026-06-21 6.432575 29.046509 73.396943 148.791855 260.323185 408.514889 610.446303
2026-06-28 5.937261 28.618410 74.140691 152.404562 268.962954 424.513241 637.136188
2026-07-05 5.279214 27.644338 73.832665 154.331438 275.188711 437.316277 659.751150